Regarding North Korea, Secretary of State Tillerson is playing the good cop while Donald Trump is the bad cop. Too bad that Trump has his hands on the nuclear codes. Can’t someone invoke the 25th amendment and put Trump where he belongs, inside a straight jacket?
The weather and the geography of the Korean peninsula made it a very difficult place to conduct the Korean War. Some believe it to be the worst place on earth for a war. Neither the weather nor the geography has changed since 1950-1953.
If hostilities erupt again and develop into Korean War 2, the army of North Korea will invade South Korea within hours, creating millions of refugees and pushing the US forces and the South Korean army southward. Then Donald Trump’s options will be limited to bombing civilians in North Korea and/or bombing North Korean troops in South Korea, killing adjacent friendly troops and civilians. Essentially destroying South Korea to save it as we did in Vietnam.
During the first Korean War, General Douglas MacArthur, the US commander, wanted to nuke the 880 mile long border between China and North Korea to create a radioactive zone to prevent Chinese troops from entering the war. President Truman wisely said no. Since Trump likes walls, he might approve of the idea. China would object, and China too is a nuclear power.
Venezuela is about to write a new constitution and the US has slapped a new set of sanctions on the country. Why? Because the constitution will benefit Venezuela’s 99% at the expense of their 1%. The GOP in the US want to modify/replace our Constitution by constitutional convention to make the US a one party state and prohibit many safety net programs. Our Constitution would then benefit our 1% at the expense of our 99%. GOP approval or disapproval of new constitutions depends on who benefits.
Venezuela has more oil than any other country including Saudi Arabia. We should be helping Venezuela rather than slapping on sanctions. Importing our oil needs from there would require shipping it less distance and mean we could abandon the oil wars in the Middle East.
On a weekly basis, our leaders claim that the US military is the world’s best. If that is so, why is our won-loss record not better? If a team has a losing record, the coach is replaced. Either our civilian leadership or our generals or both don’t know what they are doing. We are fighting the wrong wars at the wrong time using the wrong methods.
In the news this morning, North Korea is developing a missile that could hit the US in two years. That’s a mighty slow missile if it takes two years after firing to travel from North Korea to the US. Most missiles would take 90 minutes or less.
More seriously, North Korea is not the real threat, North Korea’s friend and ally, China, is the real threat. When North Korea started to lose in the Korean War, China send volunteers to fight the US and UN troops. China already has a sizable Korean community living in China, just north of the Yalu River. I doubt that China wants an influx of Korean refugees from the North during a second Korean War. China possesses many more nukes and missiles than North Korea ever will. If Trump launches a preemptive strike, North Korea will strike back and probably invade South Korea. It is a war we cannot win. Casualties will be in the 100,000s or millions if nuclear weapons are used.