Will there be an October surprise this year intended to affect the election? I fear there may be but it will be instigated by an Israel attack on Iran if it happens. Benjamin Netanyahu would prefer a compliant Romney as president in place of an independent Obama. His dilemma is how will US voters react to another war in the Middle East if it leads to the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz and gas shortages worldwide. Romney polls ahead of President Obama on the economy (falsely in my opinion), but Barack has a wide lead in polling on foreign affairs. US Neocons, influential during the GW Bush years, are urging Israel to attack Iran.